Friday, June 27, 2008

UFC 86 Preview and Predictions

We here at the Muffin do previews better than anyone because we provide hard hitting in your face analysis and pure comedy. So without further ado here is a complete walk through of every fight on the UFC 86 card.

Corey Hill Vs. Justin Buchholz
-Everyone remember Corey hill from TUF last season? He claimed to have fought in MMA prior to trying out for the show...a lie. Yet Dana kept him around and he showed a lot of promise on the show. I think this is primarily due to his build. At 6 foot 4 inches 155 pounds you are practically a Somalian on the commercials with Dikembe Mutombo. Bucholz is coming off a loss to Matt "I just won the fight of my life" Wiman via submission and I do not see Bucholz being able to match Corey's size or hands.

I go with Hill first round knockout.

Melvin Guillard Vs. Dennis Siver
Melvin makes his return to the Octagon after a long layoff since December in which Rich Clementi showed some great jujitsu and got Melvin in a very bad choke. Melvin is kind of like a box of chocolates...are you going to get the man with hands that can knock you senseless or are you going to get the melvin who falls down either gets choked out or swept into a bad position to be submitted there.

Siver posses some problems for Melvin in the fact that he can actually apply a submission and has never been knocked out. Gray Maynard grinded out a decision on him recently, but his UFC record is 1 and 2 he probably realizes without a win he is gone.

I'll take Siver in this via Melvin swinging for the fences, getting caught in a nasty armbar and being forced to have some cocaine post fight.

Jorge Gurgel Vs. Cole Miller
What a shame this fight is not on TV. The Muffin hates Gurgel! We ourselves remember Alvin Robinson taking 15 minutes and pounding Jorge's face in. Jorge might be the most overrated guy in the UFC. Sadly I do not think Cole Miller will finish Jorge via pounding on his face instead he will submit him. Cole is coming off a TKO and has something to prove. He is a submission specialist and has a huge heigh advantage here. I expect him to push Jorge around the ring for a bit, take top position and eventually get himself into position for an armbar.

Gabriel Gonzaga Vs. Justin McCully
Gabriel Gonzaga makes the return to the ring after getting run over by freight train in Fabricio Werdum. Gabe has had a rough go lately...Randy Couture broke his nose in the title match and then he got knocked senseless by Werdum. Gabe has excellent Jujitsu and his stand up isnt half bad either. Everyone remembers that head kick knockout to Cro Cop like it was yesterday...but me I was drunk. Anyway Justin McCully has been on the shelf since April of 2007 and lost to Frank Mir. I realize he beat Eddie the Manic Hispanic Sanchez and Hardonk, but there is a HUGE difference between those guys and Gonzaga. I expect Gabe to shake off the cob webs, bring his team out from Massachusetts and lay a beat down via ground and pound on McCully.

Tyson Griffin Vs. Marcus Aurelio
Mr. Fight of the Night Tyson Griffin has been talking trash lately. Claims he deserves a title shot, said that Urijah Faber wanted nothing to do with him again, but you gotta respect this kid. Besides his lost to Frankie Edgar he has put on quite a show aganst the likes of Clay Guida, Thiago Tavares and Gleison Tibau. Unfortunately all these have been decisions and I do not think Marcus Aurelio will be able to hang with Griffin. Griffin first round knockout.

Josh Koscheck Vs. Chris Lytle
Lights Out Lytle brings his great submission game against arguably the most improved fighter in the UFC. Koscheck over the last few years has really grown in terms of standup ability and shys away from layin and prayin decisions. Kosh will need to very careful here with Lytle because on the ground Lytle might just pull off one of his great triangle choke arm bar submission combos. However we saw what Hughes did to Lytle last Summer and I expect that to occur here. Koscheck 3 round decision...and for god sakes I hope he doesn't start crying like last time.

Joe Stevenson Vs. Gleison Tibau
Big Daddy comes off the bloodiest battle of his career at the hands of BJ Penn to face a man that Tyson Griffin dominated. I really do not think much needs to be said here. Daddy is the man he has the best choke in all of the UFC and I expect Gleison to be in a world of trouble in this one. First round submission. Maximus is no more after this one.

Patrick Cote Vs. Ricardo Almeida
The Predator has finally revealed himself. He had a rough start in the UFC against Tito Ortiz but has really come along nicely...I feel like he was always on the cusp of getting dropped then would eek out a victory and remain under UFC contract. Well the Cote as of late has been an animal. He knocked out Kendall Grove, Drew McFedries and looks to add one more win before taking on Anderson Silva. How awful will a main event of Anderson Silva Patrick Cote be? Sorry Almeida your submission skills will not even come into play against The Predator. First round knockout for Cote.

Quinton Jackson Vs. Forrest Griffin
AWWOOOOOOO. The most entertaining fighter in all of MMA makes a return since his last victory over Dan Henderson. Hopefully his hand is fully healed because the amount of punches he is going to land should be in the 100s. Forrest thinks his size and speed and footwork are going to really play to his advantage in this fight I disagree. I think the difference maker in this fight is cardio because as much as people believe heart makes a difference when you cant move due to exhaustion who cares. Rampage Jackson has gone five rounds recently and Forrest looked gas'd against Shogun. Also Shogun even admitted he had little to no gameplan when taking on Forrest and it showed. He was sloppy, tired and most likely was off the roids he used to take in Pride. The people wanted this fight and they'll get it. I think it goes 5 rounds with Rampage Jackson taking rounds 1,3,4 and 5 and Forrest taking Round 2 with his "good footwork".

2 comments:

James said...

I'd say Jackson takes it in two... footwork or not, Rampage is going beat him silly

Sean said...

Even though the smart money may be on this one going to decision - I'm with James. Rampage takes it in 2.